Climate change and anthropogenically-forced shift of weather in the future has the potential to impact energy use and resilience of the built environment and electric grids. This study analyzes this impact for 2030, 2045, and 2100 using Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) scenarios defined in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Assessment Report 6. The large, gridded simulation of meteorological variables for RCPs 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5 are selected and downscaled to create an hourly weather file appropriate for building energy model simulation. This weather is then simulated on high performance computing resources to quantify the urbanscale impact of climate change on anticipated electrical load characteristics in a test area of Chattanooga, TN.
Citation: ASHRAE/IBPSA-USA Bldg Simulation Conf, Sept 2020
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